Home Loan Interest Rate Direction
2010
Unless soaring house prices abate somewhat, expect more rate rises in the very near future.
Reading the recently published RBA board minutes, it seems the RBA has pinned part of the blame for soaring house prices on the state and local governments. The RBA thinks most state governments have lacked the desire to address the fundamental tightness of housing markets. They are not releasing land for development, and most don’t have a long term strategy for future release. More land needs to be released now, developers and investors need to be encouraged.
The very landscape of Australian society will change for the worse if we do not act now. You never know, we may soon have our own “shanty towns” and the edge of the major cities. Population growth among recent immigrants is fantastic and will not be curbed by assimilation to our “old growth” population habits.
The RBA makes a pointed reference about local and state government in the latest minute release.
“Information on the housing market suggested that conditions remained buoyant. Nationwide capital city price growth was running at around 1 per cent per month in early 2010, and auction clearance rates had remained high in March, especially in Melbourne. Members discussed the factors contributing to the recent strong price growth. On the demand side, population growth was strong, households had confidence about future income growth, and mortgage rates were at below-average levels. At the same time, the supply of new housing was not expanding sufficiently, partly because of the land usage policies of local and state governments and also because of the tightness of finance for developers. Members also noted that the current price growth was somewhat at odds with the falls in housing loan approvals over recent months.” (www.rba.gov.au, Minutes of the Monetary Policy Meeting of the Reserve Bank Board Sydney – 6 April 2010)
Maybe it is time to diversify your home loan. Perhaps a mix of fixed rate and variable with a full offset against the fixed rate. Even an offset against both loans would be handy. Make friends with a reputable mortgage broker get the inside information about your home loan provider instead of just the sales speak.
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