Home Loan Interest Rate Direction

Apr 25
2010

The only way is up it seems.

Unless soaring house prices abate somewhat, expect more rate rises in the very near future.

Reading the recently published RBA board minutes, it seems the RBA has pinned part of the blame for soaring house prices on the state and local governments. The RBA thinks most state governments have lacked the desire to address the fundamental tightness of housing markets. They are not releasing land for development, and most don’t have a long term strategy for future release. More land needs to be released now, developers and investors need to be encouraged.

The very landscape of Australian society will change for the worse if we do not act now. You never know, we may soon have our own “shanty towns” and the edge of the major cities. Population growth among recent immigrants is fantastic and will not be curbed by assimilation to our “old growth” population habits.

The RBA makes a pointed reference about local and state government in the latest minute release.

Information on the housing market suggested that conditions remained buoyant. Nationwide capital city price growth was running at around 1 per cent per month in early 2010, and auction clearance rates had remained high in March, especially in Melbourne. Members discussed the factors contributing to the recent strong price growth. On the demand side, population growth was strong, households had confidence about future income growth, and mortgage rates were at below-average levels. At the same time, the supply of new housing was not expanding sufficiently, partly because of the land usage policies of local and state governments and also because of the tightness of finance for developers. Members also noted that the current price growth was somewhat at odds with the falls in housing loan approvals over recent months.” (www.rba.gov.au, Minutes of the Monetary Policy Meeting of the Reserve Bank Board Sydney – 6 April 2010)

Maybe it is time to diversify your home loan. Perhaps a mix of fixed rate and variable with a full offset against the fixed rate. Even an offset against both loans would be handy. Make friends with a reputable mortgage broker get the inside information about your home loan provider instead of just the sales speak.

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To Fix Or Not To Fix Your Home Loan

Mar 29
2010

At the moment whether or not to fix your home loan is the one million dollar question. New data suggests rapid rate increase’s for the next few years.

Commonwealth Bank Economist Savanth Sebastian points to the possibility of continued growth in the Australian property sector. Although this fly’s in the face of my personal opinion, what he has to say makes perfect sense.

Whilst paying tribute to the Rudd government and Reserve Bank’s aggressive fiscal and monetary policy for insulating Australia from the global financial crisis, he points to Australia’s fastest population growth in 40 years being a key reason for the buoyant property sector.

“In simple terms, more people translates to
increased spending and demand for homes, and as a result,
increased momentum for our economy”.

He also states: “Over the past two years an additional 77,300 people have called Australia home” and that: “The new data indicates why the demand for homes continues to soar and the supply of homes isn’t keeping up, ensuring that overall house prices remain robust.”

My opinion is that the RBA may ramp up their rate increase program on the back of this data. Fixed rates are generally a full 2% higher than standard variable at the moment so the Banks already factored in a substantial rise.

If you are already on a tight budget, you may well be advised to enquire with your lender regards your options. I for one will not be fixing, but do your sums.

Historical Home Loan Rates.

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What Fees To Expect For A Fixed Rate Home Loan

Feb 26
2010
  • Typical application fee: $600 to $800 (May be less if you already have a loan).
  • Be prepared to pay a higher application fee if you are buying a unit or property off the plan.
  • If you plan to repay or refinance your loan within 4 years from the date of first loan drawing, you may also be slugged a “Deferred Establishment Fee”. This fee can vary from $700 to $2000 depending on the lending institution.
  • Loan service fees: Usually $8 to $10 per month.
  • Settlement attendance fee, usually $150 to $350.
  • If you are changing lenders, you will also usually have to pay a security discharge fee of between: $350 and $1000 for the privilege.
  • Be prepared to pay big if you want out of a fixed rate loan early. Lenders usually will not give any leeway to contract breakers. Picking the direction of home loan rates can be tricky. Just look at the historical rates for the last 50 years.

This is just a snapshot of the fees you can expect when taking out a new fixed rate home loan or changing from a standard variable home loan to a fixed rate home loan. Be sure to get a comprehensive list of fees from your lender or mortgage broker before you sign on the dotted line.



Mortgage Choice

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Australian Home Loan Interest Rates Hiked 25 Basis Points

Dec 02
2009

Rate Hiked Again.

Australian Home Loan Interest Rates Hiked 25 Basis Points

The RBA board has decided in its wisdom to raise official interest rates again. The third time in three months. The reasons are not plain to ordinary small business people or home mortgage holders and in my opinion, way to optimistic. The financial crisis is far from over at street level. Lending is tight and many properties very much overvalued.

The latest rate increase means a person who has a 30 year $300,000 mortgage is now going to pay $150 more per month than they would have before this latest hat-trick of interest rate hikes.

So how can you keep your sanity and reduce the effect of these rude, unnecessary and Christmas Grinch like increases?

Increase Your Loan Term:
Contact your broker or lender and see if you can stretch your payments over a longer period. This will lower your current monthly payments and assist your cash flow. The drawback is unless you can eventually pay more monthly, you will pay more interest to your lender over time.

Switch To A No Frills Loan:
Consider switching your home loan mortgage to a no frills operator like MyRate. You don’t really need a branch network to help manage you home loan, you have the Internet. The rate will be lower the only hassle may be getting your current lender to co-operate quickly.

Consolidate Your Personal Borrowing:
It may be a good time to assess the need for those credit cards. Fold your debt into your home loan and cut up the cards. You may not feel as affluent, but you may just enjoy your life a little more without the financial pressure. If your current lender wont help, get a reputable broker to help you.

Fix Your Rate:
You may think the horse has bolted here, but maybe fixing half your loan will at least give you some certainty moving forward, without getting caught out if rates fall, if the financial crisis/credit squeeze worsens.

Earn So Extra Cash:
Start a home based business in your spare time and use the profits to pay off your mortgage.
A Kiwi named Mark Ling has a few ideas. I am currently trying to copy his methods. An extra $500 per month will come in very handy to thwart the RBA and the Lizard conspiracy.

Or you could sit back, do nothing and see if the predictions about 2012 are correct. If they are the mortgage will not be such a worry.



Speed Equity

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Letter From My Mortgage Broker

Nov 11
2009

I received the following email from my mortgage broker today. Because of my diverse income streams I used lo doc for one of my loans. He is touting for business I am sure, but the letter also drives home the fact that we have a very different lending environment going forward into 2010.

Here’s the letter:

I am sending you this email to advise you of some SIGNIFICANT changes that have occurred in the Low Doc market over the last few months.

Fortunately, NONE of these changes will affect your current Home Loan, but they may impact on any possible future borrowings that you may be considering.

So, if any of the following scenarios may apply to you, then please call me to discuss your financing options before you take any action:

1/ If you want to sell your current property and purchase elsewhere. It is particularly important that you do not sell your current property without being aware of what your financing options are with respect to purchasing a replacement property. You may find that you no longer have any options under a Low Doc scenario.

2/ If you want to increase your existing Loan.

3/ If you want to refinance your existing Loan.

4/ If you want to buy another Investment property”

I personally think we are returning to the nasty old days like in the 70′s, this means less people able to get loans and a stagnant property sector. I hope I am wrong. Take a look at interest rates in the 70′s, they are high, but not that bad. People just could not get a loan and banks were stupidly tough with lending. However the bankers of that day did not enjoy the extreme bonuses of their counterparts today, so I am guessing the rouges of Martin Place and Collins Street will find a way to gain from others misery.

Now, may just be the time to fix some of your loans for a year or two.

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